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The Registry · San Francisco

Transfer Taxes, Trust Funds and CEQA: The Nov. 3 Ballot Measures Bay Area Developers Are Watching

Via The Registry · October 22, 2026
Compiled by Real Estate Trail Editorial · October 22, 2026

Why this matters

Commercial real estate continues to digest a multi-year reset in cost of capital. Transaction velocity is below the 2019-2021 trend but improving, cap rates have stabilized across most stabilized property types, and the bid-ask gap has narrowed materially in the past two quarters. Sponsors with permanent capital and operating platforms have an advantage in the current execution environment. San Francisco continues to clear office at the deepest discounts to 2019 basis seen in the cycle, while multifamily fundamentals have stabilized and life sciences in the Peninsula remains active. The next twelve months will continue to reward underwriting discipline and operational sophistication over balance-sheet aggression.

Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial

On the RET wire

Computed from Real Estate Trail’s own tracked coverage

Excerpt from The Registry:
With ballots already in voters' hands, a slate of Nov. 3 measures, from a San Francisco change to how foreclosed commercial property is taxed to a Menlo Park fight over downtown parking lots and a sweeping statewide C…
Read the full article at The Registry →

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