Savills: San Francisco Office Leasing Jumps 77% as Availability Falls to 27%
Why this matters
Office continues to trade in two distinct markets: trophy assets in walkable submarkets that are leasing at or near record rents, and commodity Class B and C buildings where the basis is still resetting. Underwriting on the latter has moved toward replacement-cost-minus, with credit underwriting now leaning on tenant covenant and remaining lease term rather than mark-to-market expectations. San Francisco continues to clear office at the deepest discounts to 2019 basis seen in the cycle, while multifamily fundamentals have stabilized and life sciences in the Peninsula remains active. For LP-positioned capital, the read-through is that the bifurcation is now a structural feature of the sector, not a cycle to wait out.
Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial
On the RET wire
- The twelfth San Francisco story tracked on the wire in October 2026. All San Francisco coverage →
- One of 38 office stories tracked on the wire in October 2026. All Office coverage →
- 23 stories mentioning Savills on the wire in the past 90 days. Savills coverage →
Computed from Real Estate Trail’s own tracked coverage
San Francisco tenants signed 3.9 million square feet of office leases in the third quarter of 2026, pushing year-to-date volume to 12.1 million square feet and availability down 640 basis points from a year earlier as…
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