Phoenix commercial real estate market sees drop in both leasing activity and vacancy rate

Why this matters

Commercial real estate continues to digest a multi-year reset in cost of capital. Transaction velocity is below the 2019-2021 trend but improving, cap rates have stabilized across most stabilized property types, and the bid-ask gap has narrowed materially in the past two quarters. Sponsors with permanent capital and operating platforms have an advantage in the current execution environment. Phoenix is at the front of the Sun Belt multifamily rent-growth recovery and continues to absorb large-format industrial along the I-10 corridor. The next twelve months will continue to reward underwriting discipline and operational sophistication over balance-sheet aggression.

Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial

On the RET wire

• The ninth Phoenix story tracked on the wire in October 2026. All Phoenix coverage →

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