Office’s Real Story Is the Spread Between Prime Space and Everything Else
Why this matters
Office continues to trade in two distinct markets: trophy assets in walkable submarkets that are leasing at or near record rents, and commodity Class B and C buildings where the basis is still resetting. Underwriting on the latter has moved toward replacement-cost-minus, with credit underwriting now leaning on tenant covenant and remaining lease term rather than mark-to-market expectations. For LP-positioned capital, the read-through is that the bifurcation is now a structural feature of the sector, not a cycle to wait out.
Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial
On the RET wire
- Disclosed office deal value tracked in September 2026: $14.7B across 78 reported transactions. All Office coverage →
Computed from Real Estate Trail’s own tracked coverage
The office market is recovering. The data no longer leaves much room to argue otherwise. Net absorption nationally reached 12.6 million square feet in the second quarter, nearly double the prior quarter and the ninth…
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