10Y UST5.28%+0.76%30Y MTG7.28%+3.56%SOFR3.88%+0.26%VNQ$89.15-0.39%XLRE$40.67-0.34%FED FUNDS3.88%
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Connect CRE · New York · Office

Manhattan Office Leasing Reaches 26-Year High

Via Connect CRE · October 5, 2026
Compiled by Real Estate Trail Editorial · October 5, 2026

Why this matters

Office continues to trade in two distinct markets: trophy assets in walkable submarkets that are leasing at or near record rents, and commodity Class B and C buildings where the basis is still resetting. Underwriting on the latter has moved toward replacement-cost-minus, with credit underwriting now leaning on tenant covenant and remaining lease term rather than mark-to-market expectations. New York continues to bifurcate sharply: trophy office leasing at record rents, commodity Class B in conversion discussions or court-supervised processes. Rent-stabilized multifamily remains supply-constrained and tightly held. For LP-positioned capital, the read-through is that the bifurcation is now a structural feature of the sector, not a cycle to wait out.

Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial

On the RET wire

Computed from Real Estate Trail’s own tracked coverage

Excerpt from Connect CRE:
Manhattan office leasing volume in the third quarter of 2026 remained well above historical averages at 10.3 million square feet and marked the first time since 2002 that leasing activity exceeded 10 million square fe…
Read the full article at Connect CRE →

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