10Y UST5.26%+0.38%30Y MTG7.03%+1.15%SOFR3.90%+0.52%VNQ$88.92-0.80%XLRE$40.60-0.75%FED FUNDS3.88%
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Commercial Observer · New York · Office

Manhattan’s Available Office Supply Falls to Lowest Level Since 2020: Colliers

Via Commercial Observer · October 1, 2026
Compiled by Real Estate Trail Editorial · October 1, 2026

Why this matters

Office continues to trade in two distinct markets: trophy assets in walkable submarkets that are leasing at or near record rents, and commodity Class B and C buildings where the basis is still resetting. Underwriting on the latter has moved toward replacement-cost-minus, with credit underwriting now leaning on tenant covenant and remaining lease term rather than mark-to-market expectations. New York continues to bifurcate sharply: trophy office leasing at record rents, commodity Class B in conversion discussions or court-supervised processes. Rent-stabilized multifamily remains supply-constrained and tightly held. For LP-positioned capital, the read-through is that the bifurcation is now a structural feature of the sector, not a cycle to wait out.

Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial

On the RET wire

Computed from Real Estate Trail’s own tracked coverage

Excerpt from Commercial Observer:
Despite a slight quarter-over-quarter decline in new deals, Manhattan’s office market saw a robust third quarter of 2026, with leasing volume exceeding both the five-year and 10-year quarterly averages, according to t…
Read the full article at Commercial Observer →

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