Have Treasury Yields Peaked?
Why this matters
Commercial real estate continues to digest a multi-year reset in cost of capital. Transaction velocity is below the 2019-2021 trend but improving, cap rates have stabilized across most stabilized property types, and the bid-ask gap has narrowed materially in the past two quarters. Sponsors with permanent capital and operating platforms have an advantage in the current execution environment. Vail land basis continues to clear at new highs in the village and adjacent submarkets. Luxury hospitality remains supply-constrained and tightly held. The next twelve months will continue to reward underwriting discipline and operational sophistication over balance-sheet aggression.
Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial
Executive Summary Treasury yields have dropped sharply in recent sessions, reviving a question that seemed premature just three weeks ago: Have rates peaked? The answer hinges on which of two narratives prevails. In o…
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