Box Renewal Kicks Off Bay Area Early-Renewal Rush as Okta’s 293,000 SQFT Kilroy Lease Nears 2028
Why this matters
Office continues to trade in two distinct markets: trophy assets in walkable submarkets that are leasing at or near record rents, and commodity Class B and C buildings where the basis is still resetting. Underwriting on the latter has moved toward replacement-cost-minus, with credit underwriting now leaning on tenant covenant and remaining lease term rather than mark-to-market expectations. San Francisco continues to clear office at the deepest discounts to 2019 basis seen in the cycle, while multifamily fundamentals have stabilized and life sciences in the Peninsula remains active. For LP-positioned capital, the read-through is that the bifurcation is now a structural feature of the sector, not a cycle to wait out.
Editorial analysis · Real Estate Trail Editorial
On the RET wire
- The 49th San Francisco story tracked on the wire in November 2026. All San Francisco coverage →
- Disclosed office deal value tracked in November 2026: $5.8B across 26 reported transactions. All Office coverage →
- 7 stories mentioning Kilroy on the wire in the past 90 days. Kilroy coverage →
Computed from Real Estate Trail’s own tracked coverage
Bay Area office tenants are calling their landlords years ahead of their lease expirations to lock in space before large blocks disappear, a shift Kilroy Realty highlighted with Box's 12-year renewal at Crossing 900 i…
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